After experiencing the most bleak market baptism in the end of 2008 and the beginning of 2009, almost all industry companies were experiencing the warmth of market recovery at CIMT in April 2009. Then, will the trend of recovery be continued until July? What is the trend of the machine tool industry in the second half of the year?
Two voices The answer to this question varies from company to company.
Hanjiang Machine Tool Manager told reporters, "Compared with the rolling component orders in June, the orders for rolling parts declined in June, but the orders for grinding machines are in good condition. Overall, the market trend in the second half of the year is uncertain."
Lu Xianfeng, deputy general of Beibei, told reporters that “the order of the North Daxie in June was a big leap forward in May. It just received a contract for a model machining center of 500 models for three years. At present, some production posts in Beibei have already been Start working overtime, and by October, the production tasks are full."
He also mentioned in particular that "the reclining that was originally planned to be put into operation in December has already been put into production in advance in July. The market reaction is in short supply. Now it is negotiating with the Japanese side to increase the supply of the reclining."
Lu believes that the market performance of Beibei in June reflects that some high-quality, cost-effective products are very popular with the current market. In this round of market recovery, imported products have not achieved too high growth, first because the price of imported products is too high; second, the national policy tends to support domestic high-end products.
Lu also said that the current growth of the market in Beibei is mainly due to the strong domestic market, although the export market has recovered, but it has not reached the previous high level.
It can be seen that the degree of impact of the financial crisis on enterprises is different, and the trend of polarization is deepening.
The financial crisis has brought about different impacts The China Machine Tool Industry Association's May-June survey shows that the impact of the financial crisis on machine tool companies can be roughly divided into three categories.
The first type of enterprises are affected to a small extent, and such enterprises are in good operating condition. From the analysis of the research enterprise, most of the key enterprises with large, heavy, high-grade and special CNC machine tools are the leading products. Due to the high technical content of the products, meeting the current market demand, the order contract is full, and the total industrial output value and sales revenue have increased greatly. The total profit is at a good level. These companies account for about 30% of the total number of companies surveyed.
The second category of enterprises has experienced a general decline in economic indicators since 2009 (down between 10% and 30%), which is greatly affected by the financial crisis. This type of enterprise not only produces medium and low-grade batch products, but also partially produces high-end CNC machine tools and special machine tools. The influence of enterprises in the financial crisis mainly determines which products in their leading products account for a large proportion, depending on the ability of enterprises to adjust their existing product structure to quickly adapt to the market. High-end CNC machine tools and special machine tools still maintained rapid growth when such enterprises experienced a significant decline in the production and sales of medium and low-end batch products. Such companies accounted for the largest proportion of the survey, accounting for about 60% of the companies surveyed.
The third-class enterprises have experienced a significant decline in sales revenue since 2009, which was seriously affected by the financial crisis. The total profit of the enterprises has a large negative value, and the operating conditions are very difficult. The main reasons are: the company mainly produces low-grade, ordinary products, products are backward, the technology added value is low, the market shrinks, and the business operation is difficult to sustain; but some enterprises are burdened by the system mechanism, the burden of enterprises is heavy, and the productivity is difficult to play; some enterprises Due to mistakes in major investment decisions, the capital chain is out of balance. The third category of enterprises accounted for about 10% of the total number of research enterprises. Such enterprises are in a passive adjustment situation in the midst of the financial crisis.
In the second half of the year, we are cautiously optimistic about the 177 company statistics of the China Machine Tool and Tool Industry Association. From January to May, the total industrial output value was 30.7 billion yuan, down 5% year-on-year; the product sales revenue was 29.07 billion yuan, down 6.2% year-on-year; the profit was 1.37 billion yuan. It was down 33.1% year-on-year.
According to the statistical analysis of the forecast data reported by 114 companies surveyed by the China Machine Tool Industry Association from May to June, the total industrial output value and sales revenue of key enterprises in the machine tool industry will drop by about 10% year-on-year in the first half of the year. Basically flat or slightly increased.
In summary, at present, domestic high-end machine tool orders have recovered, but the ordinary machine tool market is still in a downturn. Although the inventory has decreased, it is still not easy to say that the machine tool market has stabilized and rebounded.
Public opinion generally believes that 2009 will be a difficult year for the development of China's machine tool industry. The state's 4 trillion yuan investment to stimulate domestic demand plans, after the central funds are issued, the key depends on whether the local supporting funds are actually in place. At present, the overall feeling of market warming effect is not obvious, and the machine tool as a means of production has a lag period for market demand changes, so most professionals are cautiously optimistic about this year's economic operation.
Industry stakeholders said that in the current financial crisis, the most obvious promotion to the industry was that the product structure of the entire industry was effectively adjusted. “Adjusting product structure and promoting industrial upgrading” has been advocated for many years in the industry, but what really improved rapidly was the period after the financial crisis broke out.
It is precisely in response to the fierce market competition caused by the financial crisis, most enterprises have placed the adjustment of product structure to meet market demand in the primacy of enterprise survival. The new products independently developed and developed over the years have laid a good foundation for the adjustment of the product structure of enterprises. Many enterprises have reflected that many varieties of high-end CNC machine tools and high-end measuring tools developed in recent years have become the key equipment to meet the urgent needs of national key projects.
Take Shenyang Machine Tool and Dalian Machine Tool as examples. In January-April, 2009, Shenyang Machine Tool Group Corporation achieved a numerical control rate of 56%, of which 59% in April, up 5 percentage points year-on-year.

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