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It is understood that this year, from March to the peak of electricity consumption in the summer, some parts of China have experienced the phenomenon of “power shortage†and “power limitation†in advance, especially since September, there are still more than 10 provinces with tight power supply. In the report, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is still not optimistic about the energy supply situation next year, and said that “the total employment pressure and structural contradictions coexist, and the phenomenon of recruitment difficulties and labor shortages has a long-term trend.†At the same time, due to China’s crude oil and iron ore The import dependence of stone, bauxite and copper mines exceeds 50%, and the dependence on imported resources will be further improved in the coming period.
Li Xiaolin, chairman of China Light and Power International, also said at a previous meeting that due to the lag of reform, the coal-electricity relationship has not yet been straightened out. The huge annual losses of thermal power have seriously damped the enthusiasm of the power generation industry, and some areas have appeared. Power shortage." In addition, due to the requirements of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†for energy conservation and emission reduction, the environmental requirements of thermal power enterprises are higher. She predicted that regional and structural power shortages will become the norm in the future.
The report also elaborated on China's industrial development in the fourth quarter of this year and next year. The report shows that although the changes in the domestic and international situation have not changed the fundamentals of China's economic development, the impact of the slowdown in world economic growth on the decline in China's export demand for products, as well as the domestic demand for tightening domestic prices, will lead to the fourth quarter of this year. Industrial growth will slow down next year, and economic uncertainty will be more prominent next year. China News Weekly reporters passed the data comparison. From January to October this year, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 14.1% year-on-year. Among them, the first quarter increased by 14.4%, the second quarter increased by 14%, the third quarter increased by 13.8%, and the October growth of 13.2%, showing that industrial growth has continued to decline.
Jin Hao, director of the Institute of Industrial Economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, explained the reasons for the fall of the above industrial data: First, the European and American sovereign debt crisis led to countries adopting austerity policies, and international demand weakened; second, domestic industrial costs continued to rise, and industrial growth Make an impact.
"The growth rate of industrial added value above designated size for next year may be 1 to 2 percentage points lower than that of this year." Huang Libin, deputy director of the Operation Monitoring and Coordination Bureau of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology believes that next year's industrial growth rate may continue to fall back to a moderate growth range and will continue to Keep it steady.
The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released the 2011 China Economic Operation Fall Report in Beijing on the 24th. In response to the frequent problems of “electricity shortage†and difficulties in recruiting workers in China, the report said that as China’s economic scale continues to expand, the supply of energy resources and labor and the ecological environment will be in a “hard-constrained, tight-running†state for a long time.