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On June 5, the EU is expected to release the preliminary results of its "double anti-dumping" investigation into China's solar product exports. This development has intensified industry expectations for the upcoming domestic photovoltaic policy reform.
In March this year, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) issued a draft notice titled "Notice on Perfecting the Electricity Price Policy for Photovoltaic Power Generation." The draft proposed partial subsidies for self-consumed distributed photovoltaic power at 0.35 yuan/kWh, while grid-connected electricity would be priced according to the local coal-fired benchmark. For large-scale photovoltaic projects, four different grid tariffs were suggested: 0.75, 0.85, 0.95, and 1 yuan/kWh.
This was the first time the government had outlined a specific subsidy framework for distributed solar generation, drawing widespread attention from the industry. However, feedback from companies was largely negative. Many expressed concerns that the proposed subsidy rates were too low. Yang Huaijin, chairman of Hairun Solar, publicly criticized the plan, calling it unreasonable.
In response, the NDRC Energy Research Institute released updated proposals at the SNEC exhibition in Shanghai on May 14. According to Wang Zhongying, deputy director of the institute, the centralized grid-connected tariff should be set at four levels—0.8, 0.9, 1.0, and 1.1 yuan/kWh—depending on resource zones. For distributed systems, three subsidy tiers were suggested: 0.2 yuan/kWh for industrial and commercial users, 0.4 yuan/kWh for large industries, and 0.6 yuan/kWh for residential users such as schools and rural areas.
The proposed prices could be adjusted every two years based on changes in retail electricity rates. Projects with surplus energy would be purchased by grid companies at the local thermal power benchmark, plus a unified financial subsidy of 0.35 yuan/kWh.
Industry analysts noted that while the Energy Research Institute’s proposal serves as a reference, the final pricing authority rests with the NDRC’s Price Division. Some believe the proposed framework may serve as the foundation for the new policy to be announced on June 30.
The industry’s focus on the new policy is also reflected in the Ministry of Finance’s decision regarding the “Golden Sun†project. A top executive recently revealed that the four-year-long Golden Sun initiative will end this year. Future subsidies will shift toward distributed and micro-grid projects.
Earlier in May, the Ministry of Finance issued a notice stating that any Golden Sun project not completed within the deadline would lose its funding. Projects that meet deadlines but fail to complete final acceptance or connect to the grid would also face fund withdrawal.
Following the cancellation of the Golden Sun program, the future of subsidies remains uncertain. However, officials indicated that future support will gradually integrate with renewable energy price subsidies. Once current Golden Sun projects are completed, the transition will begin.
“This is a positive move for the entire industry, as it expands the market for photovoltaic applications,†one executive told reporters.
In line with the national policy, local governments have also introduced supportive measures. Recently, the Jiangxi Provincial Development and Reform Commission announced the “Jiangxi 10,000-kilowatt Roof Photovoltaic Demonstration Project,†starting June 20th. The plan includes up to 5 kW per household, with an average of 3 kW, targeting 1,000–2,000 households in the first phase, totaling 3–6 MW. The goal is to build 10,000 households within three years.
Analysts noted that the initial installation grant is 4 yuan/W, with the second phase tentatively set at 3 yuan/W. This marks China’s first incentive policy for residential photovoltaic projects, which has been praised as a significant step forward. In many countries, residential solar is a key part of the market.
However, questions remain about whether the Jiangxi project will only benefit local companies or expand nationwide. Many photovoltaic firms have raised concerns about the scope and fairness of the initiative.